NEWARK, N.J. — The growth of E15 fuel is getting harder to deny.
In the week leading up to the “E15 Best Marketing Practices” webinar hosted last month by Convenience Store News and Growth Energy, 200 more sites began offering E15.
As of Sept. 6, there were 1,600 sites offering E15 at the pump and 2,800 sites committed. The majority of these sites, as pointed out by Growth Energy’s Vice President of Market Development Mike O’Brien, are significantly larger than the average fuels site in the United States. And they’re reaping the benefits: E15 retailers sell 2.4 million gallons per site vs. an average of 1 million gallons per traditional fuels site.
The retailers that were among the earliest to offer E15 are what O’Brien refers to as the "innovators." Referring to the Law of Diffusion of Innovation, which categorizes how a product is adopted into the mainstream over time, he suggests E15 is through the Innovators stage, which is capped per the law at 2.5 percent saturation.
Current E15 retailers are filling in the Early Adopters phase (capped at 13.5 percent), according to O'Brien, which precedes the tipping point into Early Majority (34 percent), Late Majority (34 percent) and finally, the Laggards (16 percent).
The E15 Brand
Based on two years worth of data evaluation at pumps across the country, Afshin Mohamdi, principal at Quadrant Strategies, detailed the best practices around offering E15 in the marketplace.
"The product is popular and has the benefits that consumers really want. There is a brand issue, though," acknowledged Mohamdi. "We see this most clearly when we test different ways of branding E15 at the pump."
"There is a real need to change the E15 brand and, if we do so, there’s clear consumer demand that can be built," he added.
Through the data evaluation — which included 4,000 qualitative and quantitative surveys, intercepts at the store and 300,000-plus transactions — Mohamdi came away with a few primary challenges for E15.
The first challenge is that consumers are inherently fearful of all new products; when given new choices, they tend to default to products they know. Secondly, consumers aren’t particularly eager to really think about gasoline prices. Perhaps counter-intuitively following the second challenge, the third challenge is that consumers believe that a lower price on a new grade of fuel indicates that it’s of lesser quality.
Despite these challenges, there’s ample reason for optimism, Mohamdi stated. All told, American drivers have logged more than five billion miles on E15 thus far. And while it took a long five years to get to that first billion miles, demand has since accelerated — so much so that it took just four months to reach the second billion miles.
The New Narrative
So, what do fuel retailers need to do to get more consumers to opt for E15 at the pump?
First and foremost, according to Mohamdi, they need to prioritize the narrative to consumers around E15 being similar to their usual gasoline, and it working in their specific car. Everything else is essentially moot.
In field testing, consumers were asked: What’s the one thing about E15 you most want to know before you’d try it? Fifty-four percent responded that their main concern was whether or not it would work in their engines. Coming in at a distant second as a consideration was price (12 percent), and environmental factors was even lower down the list.
“If you’re saying E15 will work in their car because it’s a high- performance/high octane fuel, people think it’s meant for a sports car or luxury car when most people are thinking about what works in my minivan, my Camry, my Ford Fusion,” said Mohamdi. “If you talk about E15 generally being a quality fuel that will help your engine perform a little better, people will come away thinking, 'OK, that’ll be good for my family car and I think I’ll actually get benefits from it.'”
Mohamdi also thinks it’s important to drive home that E15 is a cleaner-burning fuel, which conveys the important point that not only is it good for one’s engine, but also that there are societal benefits.
"The difference it makes is not just to the car or to their wallet, but to the world," he said. "They do feel a bit of guilt about the amount of fuel they use, and using gasoline as they understand it to be, and they do want a cleaner, more sustainable option."